Isaias now heading to Bahamas and forecast to be a CAT 1 hurricane before arrival. Forecast to arrive there early Saturday morning.
It was previously headed toward FL but continued to move East. Can always move back of move further East. While currently it projected route remains off the East Coast until it hits land around Beaufort, NC, the cone includes the entire East Coast from Fort Lauderdale (barely) to Massachusetts with it being reduced back to a tropical storm between NC and NJ.
It is fast moving, traveling at 17 mph, so expected to reach the NC area by Monday afternoon.
South Florida most likely under this scenario to see winds from 20 to 30 mph and a good bit of rain. 30 to 40 mph winds by midstate with 50 to 55 mph gusts. By the time it reaches the NC coast, winds around Southport 40 mph and gusts up to 70 mph.
The European model has it actually coming ashore around Wilmington rather than Beaufort, and shows gusts along the NC coast up to 100 mph and shows gusts up to 80 mph all the way up to Maine.
Once again we show a storm intensifying above their original forecasts, to me an indicator their historic data underestimates potency in today's climate and seas. Once again we also see a storm which FL may escape the worst of, only for the Bahamas to receive it.
It was previously headed toward FL but continued to move East. Can always move back of move further East. While currently it projected route remains off the East Coast until it hits land around Beaufort, NC, the cone includes the entire East Coast from Fort Lauderdale (barely) to Massachusetts with it being reduced back to a tropical storm between NC and NJ.
It is fast moving, traveling at 17 mph, so expected to reach the NC area by Monday afternoon.
South Florida most likely under this scenario to see winds from 20 to 30 mph and a good bit of rain. 30 to 40 mph winds by midstate with 50 to 55 mph gusts. By the time it reaches the NC coast, winds around Southport 40 mph and gusts up to 70 mph.
The European model has it actually coming ashore around Wilmington rather than Beaufort, and shows gusts along the NC coast up to 100 mph and shows gusts up to 80 mph all the way up to Maine.
Once again we show a storm intensifying above their original forecasts, to me an indicator their historic data underestimates potency in today's climate and seas. Once again we also see a storm which FL may escape the worst of, only for the Bahamas to receive it.